Senate Deadlocked at 50-50 as House Gap Narrows
The GOP gains momentum, but Democrats remain favoured to hold the House
Welcome to the Polling USA model for June 7, 2026!
This week brought a boost for the Republican Party in the polls, and while it moved them closer to the majority threshold, the Democrats continue to maintain the upper hand.
Today, the Democrats stand at 227 seats, down six from their previous total of 233, while the Republicans have gained six seats to reach 208. Current polling margins place the Democrats between 212 and 242 seats, while Republicans range between 193 and 223 seats. It is a stronger position for the GOP, though their lower bound remains far from ideal.
On the Senate side, however, the picture has shifted considerably. Democrats and Republicans are now tied at 50 seats apiece, with Democrats losing one seat and Republicans gaining one. At present, both parties are projected to finish between 49 and 51 seats.
Let’s chat further about some of the recent polls and model results!