House Race Tightens As GOP Continues Recovery
Republicans gain ground in the House forecast while Senate battlegrounds remain stable
Welcome to the Polling USA model for June 21, 2026!
Well, we’re in for yet another week where the Democrats have slipped slightly in the polls and the Republicans continue recovering from their recent polling lows, all while Trump records his lowest approval ratings yet on the economy and inflation.
With the Democratic polling average dropping to 5% this week, the Democrats and Republicans have continued closing the gap between each other, though that trend has not been nearly as evident on the Senate side.
On the House side of things, the Democrats now sit at 224 seats, down three from the last update, while the Republicans have climbed to 211, up three. The Democratic average now places the party between 210 and 236 seats, while the Republican average has them between 199 and 225.
Meanwhile, the situation in the Senate remains about as stable as it has been. The Republicans and Democrats both sit at 50 seats each, while their respective seat ranges remain between 48 and 52 seats.
Let’s take a closer look at some of the recent polls and model results!