Democrats Just Had One Hell of a Week
From Georgia to Texas, Democrats keep building their electoral lead in the polls
Welcome to the Polling USA model for August 9, 2026!
Well, we’ve seen a helluva swing in this week’s polling that has pointed directly towards a Democratic majority across all branches, so let’s take a look into it!
In the House, Democrats have risen to 235 seats this week, up from 228 last week, while Republicans have dropped from 207 to exactly 200 seats. The current likely averages for Democrats sit between 216 and 252 seats, while Republicans sit between 183 and 219 seats.
Looking strictly at tilt related seats, Democrats sit between 216 and 244 seats, while Republicans are between 183 and 206, suggesting Democrats clearly hold the advantage at this point in time.
In the race for the Senate, Democrats continue to hold the advantage, with Democrats sitting at 52 seats while Republicans are down to 48 seats. The current likely average for Democrats sits between 50 and 54 seats, while Republicans are between 46 and 50 seats, so Republicans are not quite out of the woods yet when it comes to a Republican controlled Senate, and even less so with a Fetterman blocking vote.
And in the governor races, Democrats are down slightly to 26 seats while Republicans are up to 24. Democrats sit between 24 and 30 seats on the likely average, while Republicans are between 20 and 26 seats.
Let’s take a closer look at some of the recent polls and model results!
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