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Democrats Inch Ahead While Trump Deals With Epstein

The latest House model has the Democrats sitting at 233 seats, while Republicans fall behind

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Curtis Fric
Jul 27, 2025
∙ Paid

Welcome to the Polling USA House model for July 26, 2025!

We’re in the midst of the Epstein File scandal that’s been battering the Trump White House, with polls suggesting Americans don’t believe the government is being truthful about Epstein’s dealings and those associated with him.

Though we’re in the dog days of summer and a midterm election is still more than a year away, where do the polls stand today?



The model suggests the Democrats would win 233 seats based on today’s polling averages, while the Republicans would be left with 202. That’s a small increase for the Democrats since the model launched at the start of July.

Now, let’s move on to the details for our paying subscribers!


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