2028 Polling Is A Generational Warzone
Younger voters abandon party favorites, reshaping both the GOP and Democratic fields
Newly released polling from Yale University is taking a deep dive into the 2028 presidential field and what voters believe the parties should focus on, particularly among the youth.
On the Republican side, Vance leads the early vote intention among Republicans, which is unsurprising given every standard GOP presidential poll has said as much.
Perhaps the interesting part is that Vance’s support is lowest among younger voters (only 38 to 39 percent among those under 44), while candidates like DeSantis and Trump Jr pick up double-digit support, though his support among older voters is locked up tight.
Trump Jr is only able to crack 8 percent, riding off his father’s brand name (more on that in a moment), while others like DeSantis, Haley, Rubio, and Tucker Carlson all come in at lower shares of the vote.
Putting aside the vote intent for president on the Republican side, what sort of strategy do Republicans think the party needs to aim for in the next election?
Unsurprising, 55 percent of Republicans say the party should focus on energizing its conservative base by running on America first policies to win the next election, while another 25 percent say the party should moderate in order to appeal to swing voters.
The remaining 20 percent of Republicans say the party should not change much from their 2024 election strategy, which I would argue is very similar to focusing on America First policies to energize the base, as there is not much difference between the two options.
Now, let us take a look at the Democratic side of things, alongside the GOP vote intention with Trump, should he decide to seek a third term.




